Holiday Movies, and Their Box Office

What Do We Expect From the Holiday Box Office Season?

By: Keaton Marcus

NOVEMBER 1-3

TERMINATOR: DARK FATE, ESTIMATE: 45M/ACTUAL: 29M

HARRIET, ESTIMATE: 4M/actual: 11.6M

MOTHERLESS BROOKLYN, ESTIMATE: 5M/actual: 3.5M

ARCTIC DOGS, ESTIMATE: 5M/actual: 2.9M

NOVEMBER 8-10

MIDWAY, ESTIMATE: 12M/actual: 17.8M

DOCTOR SLEEP, ESTIMATE: 25M/actual: 14.1M

PLAYING WITH FIRE, ESTIMATE: 9M/actual: 12.7M

LAST CHRISTMAS, ESTIMATE: 17M/actual: 11.4M

NOVEMBER 15-17

FORD V FERRARI, ESTIMATE: 25M/actual: 31.4M

CHARLIE’S ANGELS (2019), ESTIMATE: 15M/actual: 8.3M

THE GOOD LIAR, ESTIMATE: 5M/actual: 5.6M

NOVEMBER 22-24

FROZEN II, ESTIMATE: 130M/actual: 130.2M

A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD, ESTIMATE: 17M/actual: 13.2M

21 BRIDGES, ESTIMATE: 10M/actual: 9.2M

NOVEMBER 27-DECEMBER 1

KNIVES OUT, ESTIMATE: 20M THREE-DAY, 30M FIVE-DAY/actual: 26.7M three-day, 41.4M five-day

QUEEN & SLIM, ESTIMATE: 9M THREE-DAY, 13M FIVE-DAY/actual: 11.8M three-day, 16M five-day

DECEMBER 6-8

PLAYMOBIL: THE MOVIE, ESTIMATE: 5M/actual: 656.5K

DECEMBER 13-15

JUMANJI: THE NEXT LEVEL, ESTIMATE: 45M/ actual: 59.2M

RICHARD JEWELL, ESTIMATE: 7M/actual: 4.7M

BLACK CHRISTMAS, ESTIMATE: 10M/ actual: 4.2M

DECEMBER 20-22

STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER, ESTIMATE: 230M/ACTUAL: 177.3M

CATS, ESTIMATE: 15M/ actual: 6.6M

DECEMBER 27-29

SPIES IN DISGUISE, ESTIMATE: 10M THREE-DAY, 17M FIVE-DAY/actual: 13.3M three-day, 22.2M five-day

LITTLE WOMEN (2019), ESTIMATE: 15M THREE-DAY, 27M FIVE-DAY/actual: 16.7M three-day, 29.2M five-day

JAN 3-5

THE GRUDGE (2020), ESTIMATE: 15M/ACTUAL: 11.4M

JAN 10-12

1917, ESTIMATE: 25M/ACTUAL: 37M

LIKE A BOSS, ESTIMATE: 12M/ACTUAL: 10M

JUST MERCY, ESTIMATE: 5M/ACTUAL: 9.7M

UNDERWATER, ESTIMATE: 10M/ACTUAL: 7M

JAN 17-19

BAD BOYS FOR LIFE, ESTIMATE: 40M THREE-DAY, 45M FOUR-DAY/ACTUAL: 62.5M THREE-DAY, 73.4M FOUR-DAY

DOLITTLE, ESTIMATE: 25M THREE-DAY, 32M FOUR-DAY/ACTUAL: 21.8M THREE-DAY, 30M FOUR-DAY

JAN 24-26

THE RHYTHM SECTION, ESTIMATE: 10M/ACTUAL: 2.7M

GRETEL & HANSEL, ESTIMATE: 7M/actual: 6.1M