August 23-25: "Angel has Fallen", "Good Boys", "Overcomer"
“Angel has Fallen” Concludes Trilogy on #1 Spot
By: Keaton Marcus
Diving into the weekend, Lionsgate’s Angel has Fallen proved to be another successful installment to the franchise, as well as bringing a rare hit for the studio—beating expectations by a good chunk. Good Boys held well over the weekend for its sophomore session, and continues to be a low-budget smash for Universal. Faith-film Overcomer surprisingly managed to debut in third place, delivering a solid opening for the genre, while The Lion King quickly followed. Rounding out the top five was Hobbs & Shaw which opened spectacularly well in China, allowing the action pic to break even with its 200 million cost.
Mentioned before, Lionsgate’s release of the third installment to the Fallen franchise, Angel has Fallen, opened considerably well—selling an estimated 21.2M in ticket sales. The R-rated, 40 million production was released in 3,286 sites in North America, resulting in a per-screen average of $6,467—and also easily trumped the original 13-15M pre-weekend expectations. The first film in the trilogy, dubbed Olympus has Fallen, was an unexpected little party box for the top charts, opening to 30.3 million back in 2013. After it’s bout of 170.2 million globally, the picture sprouted a sequel called London has Fallen. The second installment wasn’t as big as its predecessor, but still managed well with a 21.6 million opening in 2016—the film didn’t crack the states as well, but delivered a global franchise record, tallying to 205.7 million, another hit. For the finish, the Fallen franchise has an average multiplier of about 3x, which could mean a finish of around 63 million domestically, which is our prediction currently.
Review wise, Angel has Fallen shot up mixed to negative critical reception, but still managed excellent opinion from opening day audiences. On RottenTomatoes, the violent feature scored just 40% “Rotten” based on 111 reviews. Metacritic was almost as skeptical, handing the picture a below-average 45/100. Audiences, however, loved what they saw, giving it a 95% approval rating on RT, as well as a impeccable A- CinemaScore.
Secondly, Universal’s R-rated hit comedy Good Boys sold another 11.7M in the sophomore session, dipping a quiet 45.1% for a North American total of 42M after 10 days in release. The picture is playing around four million ahead of Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising which made 9.3 million in its second weekend—considering this, we are looking at a possible 65M finish. Internationally, the youth-centered film earned an estimated 3.5M from 22 material markets, adding to a overseas tally of 6.9M and a global total of 48.9M.
Third place holds another nice weekend surprise with Sony’s Overcomer which pummeled its 4M expectations with an estimated 8.2M from just 1,759 locations—averaging a decent enough $4,759 per-screen average. The production cost is 5 million, meaning its an instant hit for the genre, and a low-costing gift for the studio. The film’s creators did 2015 released faith hit War Room which debuted to 11.3 million before having extraordinarily long-legs for a finish copping to 67.7 million. Overcomer wasn’t a hit exactly with critics, but a 99% audience score and an A+ CinemaScore suggest that we could be in for a similar, 6x multiplier.
Taking no prisoners is Disney’s live-action remake of The Lion King which is currently laying in a big pile of cash—earning an estimated 8.1M this weekend for a massive domestic total tallying 510.6M. The film is not only the biggest Disney reboot globally, it has now become the largest Disney live-action re-imagining domestically, topping Beauty and the Beast (504M). Overseas, the picture added another 30M, for a foreign total nearing one billion (997.9M) for a monster global bout of 1.508 billion.
Rounding out the top five was Universal’s Hobbs & Shaw which fell 42.6% for a fourth weekend of 8.1M (a bit behind The Lion King) for a North American bout capping 147.7M heading into its fourth week of release. The expensive action flick has maintained a slight lead over Kong: Skull Island, which means the F&F spin-off is on its way to a possible 165-170M ending. Overseas, the picture added another 120M from its international markets, a huge part of it happens to be a massive, 102M in China, which is an August Record for the market. It’s also the second biggest Chinese debut in the franchise following The Fate of the Furious. This results in a foreign total of 441.2M and a global gross of 588.9M—which technically allows the film to break even with its 200 million budget.
Right outside of the top five, Disney’s release of Fox’s Ready or Not opened to an estimated 7.5M from 2,855 sites, averaging $2,644—allowing a five-day performance of 10.5 million. While it opened a bit above the studio’s 5M expectations, it was still disappointing considering the positive audience and critical reception. On RottenTomatoes, it scored 87% “Certified Fresh” on the Tomatometer, as well as a 63/100 on Metacritic. Audiences handed it a 82% on RT and a B+ CinemaScore.
Next weekend we see one new nationwide release come to the plate, and will possibly give Angel has Fallen some #1 trouble. OTL and Blumhouse’s R-rated horror film dubbed Don’t Let Go will be debuting in an unknown amount of locations, and could surprise.
TOP FIVE:
Angel has Fallen
Good Boys
Overcomer
The Lion King
Hobbs & Shaw